Regional Conflicts and the Process of Price Formation in the World Oil Market

Artyushkin V.F.,

Cand. Sci. (Pol. Sci.), Associate Professor of the Department of Mathematics, Econometrics and IT, Senior Researcher, Center for Global Studies, Institute of International Studies, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (University), MFA of Russia,

elibrary_id: 73848 |

DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2007.05.11

For citation:

Artyushkin V.F. Regional Conflicts and the Process of Price Formation in the World Oil Market . – Polis. Political Studies. 2007. No. 5. P. 129-139. (In Russ.).


In the article, the author takes up to consider processes determining price formation in the world oil market. A statistically verified mathematical model is offered, that allows to single out those changes of the world demand that are caused by the specific nature of the market. Probable causes are discussed, of the discrepancy between the model calculations, on the one hand, and the real state of the market, on the other. The search for explanations is realized with the application of political event analysis covering the past thirty years. Some theses are formulated in the article that make it possible to work out principles of price forecasting with both economic and political processes taken into account.


Content No. 5, 2007

See also:

Sorokin K.E.,
Russia and the Play of Geopolitical Interests in the Great Ocean Area. – Polis. Political Studies. 1994. No4

Barsukova S.Yu.,
Problems of Refugees and Emergency Migrants in the Mirror of Ideologies. – Polis. Political Studies. 1999. No5

Pastukhov V.B.,
From Statehood to the State: Europe and Russia. – Polis. Political Studies. 1994. No2

Laslo E. ,
Birth of a World - Birth of a Science - Birth of an Age. – Polis. Political Studies. 1993. No2

Pshizova S.N.,
Democracy and Political Market in a Comparative Perspective (II). – Polis. Political Studies. 2000. No3

Screen version