Trump Factor in Russia – US Relations


Arbatov A.G.,

Full Member of RAS; Director, Center for International Security, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences, arbatov@imemo.ru

elibrary_id: 73079 |

Arbatova N.K.,

Dr. Sci. (Pol. Sci.), Head, Department of European Political Studies, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences, arbatova@imemo.ru

elibrary_id: 261811 |


DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2017.03.11
For citation:

Arbatov A.G., Arbatova N.K. Trump Factor in Russia – US Relations. – Polis. Political Studies. 2017. No. 3. P. 160-178. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2017.03.11



Abstract

The article deals with Donald Trump’s ascent to the White House that may open a new phase in the international relations, and foremost in relations between Russia and the USA. This is determined by the very Trump phenomenon, which is neither accidental, nor confined exclusively to the American politics, but reflects deep changes in the life of many nations and world environment as a whole. Donald Trump is a product of the world’s anti-globalist trend – populism. That is why he remains for the time being one of the most unpredictable politicians. Russian leadership obviously gave preference to Trump during the US election campaign. The main reason of such attitude of the Russian elite towards Trump was his political line of rejecting foreign policy of President Barak Obama, under whom Russian-American relations sank to the lowest point since the end of the Cold War. In order to estimate the possibility of substantial improvement under Trump it is worthwhile once again to address the reasons of the crisis of the recent few years in the relations between the two powers with the purpose of understanding how probable the removal of these reasons in the future. In view of the domestic political situation in the USA and spontaneous nature of Trump’s pre-election declarations, it is still not clear which policy course will be implemented by his administration, if and when it elaborates a consistent foreign policy. This is not the whole present uncertainty, however. No less unpredictable are the changes in Russian policy in reaction to what is happening within the United States and if the changes happen – which direction they will take. Moreover, in the situation of domestic political chaos and actual paralysis of state authority in the United States, the future of the relations between the two powers depends presently more on Russia, its ability to quickly adapt to the changing situation and come out with big, concrete initiatives aimed at directing its dynamics to a constructive channel. 

Keywords
international relations; populism; USA; Trump; nuclear arms control; crisis; Cold War; bipolarity.


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Content No. 3, 2017

See also:


Oznobishchev S.K.,
“The New Cold War”: Reminiscences about the Future. – Polis. Political Studies. 2016. No1

Kazarinova D.B.,
Cold War and Peace: “Russia Against the Rest” and Four World Orders of R. Sakwa. – Polis. Political Studies. 2018. No4

Chugrov S.V.,
Moscow University Bulletin. Series 25. International relations and world politics: 5 years on track. – Polis. Political Studies. 2014. No5

Sakwa R.,
Back to the Wall: Myths and Mistakes that Made the Ukraine Crisis. – Polis. Political Studies. 2015. No4

Simonia N.A.,
Results of Presidential Elections in the United States and New Prospects for Formation of Multipolar World Order. – Polis. Political Studies. 2017. No2

 

   

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